View Full Version : Phantasmagoria Dice Odds

03-02-2013, 21:20
Not sure if a thread like this already exists, but I'm scrapping together a Slaanesh leadership bomb army for the tournament season and I'm curious on the statistics of phantasmagoria with/without a bsb. Trying to do risk analysis for terror and combat. Can anyone lend me a hand?

On a side note, anyone had any luck with Slicing Shards?

04-02-2013, 01:02
If things go as they are rumored to be, you can wave goodbye to Lore of Slaanesh as it is in the Daemons of Chaos Army Book as there should be a new one in March.
Its not 100% but it seems quite reliably that it will be next month :3

As for the math, a simple google search got me this

Roll Freq Prob
2 1 0.5%

3 3 1.4%

4 7 3.2%

5 12 5.6%

6 19 8.8%

7 27 12.5%

8 34 15.7%

9 36 16.7%

10 34 15.7%

11 27 12.5%

12 16 7.4%

04-02-2013, 03:11
Yeah, I found that site as well, I just couldn't figure out how to do the bsb with it.

As far as the new book goes, two of the tournaments I'm going to will still be using the current book. I figure after that I'll just adapt. I've got the models, so we'll just see what other fun stuff I can do.

04-02-2013, 06:01
Reroll can only be calculated for brackets of results.
Did you bomb him down to LD2? Then the reroll is obvious - reroll everything except triple ones, so spread the results over 1 less possibility

Take a LD9 re-roll, leaving 34+27+16 possible results that force the re-roll, out of 216 possibilities -> 35.65% chance to fail the first roll, 35.65% chance to fail the second roll -> 12.71% chance to miss a rerollable LD9 on "3 dice remove lowest"?
I think thats how its calculated :3
Someone who likes probabilities more than me could confirm~