Don't feed the troll, Trasvi.![]()
Wow. I have been absent for over twelve months, since GW shafted their ROW customers, and not much has changed at all.
Does anyone have the sales figures from after the 'terms of trade policy'?
Australia: where Forgeworld is the CHEAPER alternative to Games Workshop
GW Purchases since RoW terms of trade change in May 2011 'the antipodean embargo':
Member of J.A.D.E.DTrying to convince Warseer that GW are anything less than perfect is like trying to teach a horde of zombies that lettuce is a perfectly acceptable alternative to brains.
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While not a definate statement on trendings, costumer numbers and profits, it neverthelesse offers interesting additional information.
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Personaly I think just stating that the "Interent Community" is in the minority and that in the reality the GW systems are blooming and loved all around is the equivalent of sticking fingers into both ears. Even without hard numbers it is clear, that the competition is slowly growing while GW systems are at best stagnating if not worse.
Maybe, but i wonder how much of the stagnation and loss of customer base is coming from the pants-on-head crazy pricing?
Just because the horse is dead is no reason to stop flogging it.
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Have anyone of you been able to calculate the gross margin on GW miniatures?
The GW annual report is amazingly easy to read (http://investor.games-workshop.com/w...ll-25-July.pdf) but I am not very familiar with British standards for writing them on and I am curious on if it is possible to calculate the average gross income per miniature as it would be interesting to compare.
I also check ft.com regarding market sentiment on GW and was a bit surprised by how hard it seems to be for GW to correctly forecast their sales (http://markets.ft.com/Research/Marke...t?s=GAWGBP:STO). I thought they would be a rather "boring" company on the stock market as they would make their money, pay their dividend and everyone would be happy. But in the last 5 years the stock have lost half it's value (2007-2008) and then quadrupled it which mean that the GW stock value have doubled in 5 years.
Another thing I noticed at ft.com is that their financial information officer is named Rachel Tongue which is a bit funny.
In a technical sense, (Revenue - Cost of Sales) / Revenue should give you gross margin. IIRC it's like 75% for GW if I remember correctly off the top of my head. Someone could pull the 2010-11 annual report to figure it out precisely.
With that said, GW doesn't fully disclose how they allocate all their costs, so that could be overstated or understated depending on what they are jamming into operating expenses. If they are allocating design costs in there, that's kind of a misnomer in some ways (you try producing an undesigned product), but if that's all the retail stores and administrative, then their gross margin should be representative.
As to stock price, follow it back even further, and you will find they are still at a significant loss compared to the highs of the stock (in the 800p range) from the LoTR bubble.
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What other factors? You're aware that revenue is reported pre-expense for this precise reason, right?
Revenue is simply the amount of cash taken in from sale of products. You then have various expenses related to all of the things you claim are assumptions before you reach net income, but we're not talking about net income. Let me say that again: revenue is only the amount taken in from the sale of products, prior to deductions for any reason.
Therefore, if you have rising prices but constant revenue, you are definitionally selling less product. The only other option would be that prices hadn't actually increased (empirically verifiable that they have) or someone is committing accounting fraud.
Just checking back in, started playing GW stuff again, but a glance at the online retailers tells me that not much has changed, as far as GW's ToT. How about their financial position?
Australia: where Forgeworld is the CHEAPER alternative to Games Workshop
GW Purchases since RoW terms of trade change in May 2011 'the antipodean embargo':
Good sales of the new paint range when it was introduced and an unexpected large royalty payment from licencing their IP lead gwPLC to have a possitive year. Without the licencing money their revenue still remains reletively flat (so sales of actual models are still falling) and their market in Austrailia is showing significant losses.
I haven't heard of any steps that they have taken to improve the Austrailian situation, they didn't take part in the "annual price adjutment" this year but at best that's not making a bad situation worse, not actively making it better.
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Member of J.A.D.E.DTrying to convince Warseer that GW are anything less than perfect is like trying to teach a horde of zombies that lettuce is a perfectly acceptable alternative to brains.
Lest we forget
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In one of their recent financial years, the BORROWED money to pay a dividend after making a net loss. 2009/2010?
Paying a dividend does not equal success. Companies like McDonalds and Microsoft have never paid dividends iirc.
And there are many CEO's that are out there to burn up the companies resources, make their bonuses and share increases, and then bail with all of the money.
If he is not a gamer, he must only be there for one reason...
Last edited by mulkers; 07-01-2013 at 01:48.
Australia: where Forgeworld is the CHEAPER alternative to Games Workshop
GW Purchases since RoW terms of trade change in May 2011 'the antipodean embargo':
GW is a short term dividend stock. If I were looking for a stock to invest in to get cents back on my dollar every year for a good few years I would buy GW stock. That's the type of stock it is. It's not a long term growth stock where you plan to pull out your money decades from now because the actual stock price grows. So issuing a dividend for GW is a sign of success. For a few years, 07, 08, i'm not sure about 09, they didn't issue a dividend because those years sucked for them. However, financially speaking, since then they turned the company around. If you bought stock in 07 or 08 and kept it until now you are a very happy stockholder.
I do think that Kirby is trying to maximize his stock until he finally pulls out in a few years. He bought the company in 91 i think, it went public in 94, so this plan has been in the making for a while. He's going to finally be able to liquidate his investment and go live on a boat somewhere.
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